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UFSCAR - Macroeconomia - NEA
Friday Dec 12, 2025 ⋅ 2pm – 4pm (Brasilia Standard Time - São Paulo)
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BTFP 2023 Banking Crisis Analysis (2025)
This analysis examines **who used the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP)** during the 2023 banking crisis and what determined that choice. Building on Jiang et al. (2024) Market-to-market (MTM) Loss, we test whether BTFP's unique **par valuation** feature attracted banks facing **insolvency risk** (not just liquidity risk).
**Key Hypotheses:**
1. Banks with higher insolvency risk AND more OMO-eligible assets preferentially chose BTFP
2. BTFP usage is driven more by insolvency concerns than pure liquidity needs
3. The interaction of run risk and OMO-eligible capacity predicts BTFP usage (Borrowing)
Regresión Lineal Simple
Linear Simple Regression