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Mcdonald1996

Mcdonald Owuor

Recently Published

TB Analysis
North Western project
Cross-Country Comparison of Foundational Learning Outcomes in Africa
This project analyzes foundational learning outcomes in mathematics and reading among 10-year-old children across selected African countries (Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Senegal, Tanzania, and Uganda). Using survey-based data and weighted estimates, it compares the proportion of children meeting minimum proficiency levels in numeracy and literacy. The analysis highlights cross-country disparities and overall regional performance, providing evidence on learning gaps to inform education policy and improve foundational skills outcomes in Africa.
Regression Analysis
I recently applied multiple regression analysis to examine what drives arithmetic performance in a sample of 177 participants. Using a model that included sex, teacher stage, math anxiety, self-efficacy, and personality traits, regression helped isolate the key drivers of performance while controlling for overlapping effects. The strongest and most consistent predictor was **self-efficacy**, followed by a smaller but significant effect of sex. Interestingly, math anxiety, personality (neuroticism), and teacher stage were not significant once other factors were controlled for. The model explained about **17–20% of performance variation**, showing how regression can move beyond correlation to identify the most decision-relevant predictors in complex human data. This is a clear example of how regression modeling supports evidence-based decisions by highlighting what truly matters when multiple factors interact in real-world systems.
Monte Carlo simulation