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bbwieland

Ben Wieland

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Analyzing stability of punting statistics in the NFL & projecting punter fantasy performance using xgboost
This document explores the year-over-year stability of eight separate punting statistics on a per-punt basis, finding strong year-over-year correlations for punt yards and punt return yards allowed (among other statistics) and very little correlation for statistics such as touchback rate and out-of-bounds punt rate. It also includes the fitting of a model using xgboost for punter fantasy performance projection for the 2022-23 NFL season on a per-punt basis, and a brief analysis of the most valuable overall punters in fantasy football for the 2022-23 season.