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How plausible are more than 1MM Refugees hitting the sea shores of Europe?
Rationale
As of 31 December 2015, how many refugees and migrants will UNHCR report as having arrived in Europe by sea? Europe is facing a refugee crisis […]. Question will be resolved using the data available on UNHCR’s Emergency Response Page for the Mediterranean as of 31 December 2015 (http://data.unhcr.org/mediterranean/regional.html ).
Refugee Arrival
Analysis for superforecasting the refugee arrival in 2015
As of 31 December 2015, how many refugees and migrants will UNHCR report as having arrived in Europe by sea? Europe is facing a refugee crisis [...]. Question will be resolved using the data available on UNHCR's Emergency Response Page for the Mediterranean as of 31 December 2015 (http://data.unhcr.org/mediterranean/regional.html ). https://www.gjopen.com/questions/45-as-of-31-december-2015-how-many-refugees-and-migrants-will-unhcr-report-as-having-arrived-in-europe-by-sea
(CC BY 3.0) Roland Kofler, eccept the data which is UNHCR's copyright
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