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drzhenye

Prof. Zhen Ye (Peter)

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Tilted portfolio
GDP PC US v UK
PCGDP compared US v UK
GDP per capita by percentile in 38 OECD countries
25th percentile 50th percentile 75th percentile 95th percentile "Slovak 24,491" "France 44,691" "Austria 56,034" "Switzerland 99,565"
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GDP per capita by percentile in OECD countries
25th percentile 50th percentile 75th percentile 95th percentile "Portugal 27,331" "France 44,691" "Austria 56,034" "Switzerland 99,565"
GDP per capita: US vs UK 2020-23
Source: The World Bank "World Development Indicator"
The US GDP per capital 2020-23
Source: The World Bank "World Development Indicator"
Diseconomies of scale
Economies of scale
Price floor
Market in action through intervention
Price ceiling
Market in action - the effect of an intervention.
Original decision tree for Cambridge house price
This tree is not pruned.
Prediction that works: Part 4
Predicted close price of the next trading day: 343.58
Prediction that works
LSTM predicted close price of the next trading day: 35.59
Prediction that works
Deep Neural Networks
EWMA versus Volatility
Laplace2t-distributionCompared
On 2024-09-24, 000300 reached a high of 0.042398440. At what point does it lie in the historical Laplace distribution? How does it compare with t-distribution?
LaPlace fit and right tail probability
On 2024-09-24, 000300 reached a high of 0.042398440. At what point does it lie in the historical Laplace distribution?
Interpreting 000300
On 2024-09-24, 000300 reached a high of 0.042398440. At what point does it lie in the historical t-distribution?
CSI 300 High
Volatility 000300
Volatility Compared
Residuals versus Fitted
Breusch-Pagan test to follow
Residual versus Fitted Plot for Market Model Regression (II: ERP-MRP)
Breusch-Pagan test confirms no heteroscedasticity for 180101
Amoy game simulation
Amoy Dice Game
Simulating rolling 6 dices 1 million times. This game is for the mid-autumn festival in Xiamen (Amoy) and is played continuously for a month.
Growth
Global Regional Debt
BRICs, US + UK
Figure 2: Volatility of ASOS Share Price
The figure shows the volatility of ASOS's daily return since it started trading. As can be seen, there is more volatity in the last 3 years.
Figure 1: ASOS daily return
The figure shows daily return of ASOS since it started trading on 4 Jan 2005 until 8 March 2024.
Figure 1: Daily Return ASOS
GDPpcUS
GDP PC US UK Japan & Qatar
US Lending to Ukraine
Official UK lending to Kenya
BRICs Debt
US BRICs + UK Growth
GDP Growth: US versus BRICs
Box Plot of Returns 10 years
TS 10 years of returns
10 years price trends
Stationary Return
SP500 in a go
Average housing price
JPM VaR 20230503
GOOGL Relative Volatility
AMZN Volatility
TSLR QQPlot
TSLR QQ Plot